In “The Grand Chessboard”, Brzezinski had pointed out the American imperatives in Eurasia. It has vast human and mineral resources, and thus American interests are to ensure that no political bloc had the strength to expel America from its decisive arbitration role. This is not a new book, but Brzezinski was the National Security Advisor during the crucial period of the region’s history when the Islamic revolution expelled the American puppet government in April 1979. Brzezinski recommended CIA help the mujahideen in Afghanistan by July 1979 against the communist government there drawing Russians in to protect it late December 1979. This was a “balancing” for the Cold War frontier. America had lost control of Iran, gained by a CIA coup in 1953, and Russians had to expend their military energies in a protracted war in Afghanistan for geostrategic “balance” of power. The Russians devastated Afghanistan and finally withdrew in 1987, and in between Reagan sang paeans to the Afghani freedom fighters, dedicating the 1982 flight of space shuttle Columbia to them.
Now in all this geostrategic American interest, there is absolutely no concern for the destruction of the civil life of the entire region either by the Americans or the Russians, as busy as they have been with their “balance of power”. Even today, they have racist views about Afghanis. Brzezinski considers them medieval beyond the capacity for civilization — which begs the question of his own capacity for civilization for me, but let me not digress on that irrelevant point.
It is clear to me that America has not been very successful in building useful civil infrastructure in Afghanistan, that since their invasion of Afghanistan in 2001 after a false flag operation they had even underestimated the proportion of the population sympathetic to the Taliban — around a third of the country from my impression, and after nine years of enormous resources spent (around $670 billion military budget last year) they have agreed to move out in 2014, which gives the Taliban default “victory” because it’s their land and they can just wait there. Patreus’ plan, if one can call it a plan seriously, is to defeat the Taliban and force them to the negotiating table, and The New York Times has been cheering on this ridiculous plan by giving all sorts of localized “good news” of how the insurgents have been “quieted”. They can be quiet for strategic reasons, obviously. They KNOW that Americans have already set a time to withdraw.
Now to my main point, which is that the strategic winner in all this mess is Turkey, because Turkey has decided to allow Taliban to open an office in Turkey, which will legitimize the Taliban as a political organization independently of Afghanistan. This is a much more serious geostrategic political move than seems on the surface. Indeed, I claim this is a “checkmate” move for influence on the region, regardless of the maneuverings of American military, CIA, and the Pakistani intelligence and military. Why? Because despite all the propaganda in the western press, the Taliban are a third of Afghanistan with a tremendous amount of potential political energy if organized wisely.
Turkey is one of the very few Muslim majority nations that has gone through a secularization process. In 1922 it abolished the Sultanate and in 1924 Caliphship. They are uniquely positioned to bring genuine political change to the region which America neither has the skills nor the wilingness to do since their concern is to control the resources. A book is coming out about Bush’s negotiations with the Taliban well before 9/11 of either you give us oil for a carpet of gold or we deliver carpet of bombs. This from an American President does not engender any faith in the rhetoric of concern for the well-being of the condition of women, for example. The actual events have borne out the things written by Brzezinski in his book long before 2001.
It may be that Turkey wants imperial style influence on the region with Iran. But even that sort of influence is beneficial to the people of the region who have been duped and lied to and killed while the rhetoric of liberty and democracy and whatnot has never stopped. Turkey’s imperial concerns, if any, are still preferable for the people because Turkey is not across the ocean sending occupation troops but is attempting to spread its own cultural imperatives to the region devastated by Russia, by America, and lacking any civilian infrastructure.
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